Arizona was one of many closest battleground states in 2020, and the 2022 Senate race got here right down to the wire as nicely. Ultimately, incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz., bested Republican newcomer Blake Masters, protecting Democratic goals of sustaining management of the Senate alive.
Younger voters, college-educated voters and girls shaped the core of Kelly’s assist.
Fox Information voter evaluation compiling information behind Sen. Mark Kelly’s victory within the contentious midterm elections.
(Fox Information)
Kelly gained the lion’s share of moderates, and even the backing of a couple of in ten Republicans (13%).
Moderates backed Kelly by a big margin.
(Fox Information)
Masters stored the election shut by racking up stable margins amongst Whites and not using a faculty diploma, gun-owner households and rural voters. He additionally gained suburban voters by two factors, because of a 20-point benefit amongst suburban males.
Arizona’s Hispanic voters, a pivotal voting bloc, went for Biden by 19 proportion factors in 2020. The Democratic margin within the Senate race this yr was barely bigger (+22).
Hispanic voters tended to want Kelly to Masters.
(Fox Information)
Half of voters mentioned they had been involved that Kelly’s views had been too excessive, however notably extra had been involved, almost two-thirds, about Masters.
The difficulty surroundings in Arizona was just like close by Nevada – Masters narrowly gained amongst those that mentioned which celebration managed the Senate was most vital to their vote (5-point Masters benefit) and had a wider edge amongst these primarily targeted on inflation (+27 factors). Kelly gained by an identical margin amongst these emphasizing the way forward for democracy (+32 factors) and by a 55-point landslide amongst these for whom the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Courtroom choice on abortion was most vital.
ARIZONA DEMOCRAT MARK KELLY DEFEATS REPUBLICAN BLAKE MASTERS IN SENATE RACE
Border safety was one other vital concern within the Senate race, with voters overwhelmingly favoring stepped-up safety on the southern border.
Though the need for better border safety was not sufficient to propel Masters to a win, it helped hold Republican Kari Lake in rivalry within the governor’s race – which, as of Monday night, remained too near name.
Lake stayed within the working by protecting the race barely nearer amongst moderates (who backed Democrat Katie Hobbs by 27 factors) and successful suburban voters by a wider margin (+5 factors) than Masters.
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Methodology
The Fox Information Voter Evaluation is a survey of greater than 90,000 voters and 20,000 nonvoters carried out from Oct. 31 by Nov. 8. Full methodological particulars are accessible right here.
